Meeting Overview

Going: Soft5 (20/10)

Rail: True

The rail is back in the true position for this meeting, with it being out 3m & 6m for the past 2 meetings. It is important to note Te Rapa held the Ready to Run Breeze Ups recently so the rail movement to the true position is a key factor in providing fresh ground. Currently rated a Soft 5 and with very small showers forecast between now and raceday, I expect the Soft 5 to remain in play throughout. I expect all runners will have their chance on a fair surface tomorrow.

Best Bet

Race 6 - #11 IMWONDERFULTONIGHT (Win)

This is shaping as a good Rating 65 contest. Imwonderfultonight was good when clearing maiden ranks last time, when we saw her at Hastings and a number of those who finished in behind her that day have subsequently won races. With a bit of speed in the race, Joe Doyle should be able to settle just off the leaders and give her every chance to score a win here. The recent trial was very eye catching and the lightly raced daughter of I Am Invincible looks like she has plenty of ability. Race rival #12 JAARFFI could be a danger at a nice price, but I think this mare has what it takes to win this race fresh up.

Next Bet

Race 5 - #9 MARY LOUISE (Win)

It’s hard to find fault with what she has done in just 9 starts so far, but the CD visitor finds a winnable race fresh up here. Her course, distance and fresh record is sensational, and you know she is versatile on any going. This isn’t the deepest Open Handicap around and with just 54kg on her back she rates as a super chance at $4.20 to score another win first up. The recent trial would have improved her fitness for this assignment and from barrier 5, Craig Grylls will have plenty of options in getting her a cozy run in transit.

Value Bet

Race 3 - #15 DAYDREAM BELIEVER (Each Way)

This race is wide open, and the market supports that as we have a $5 favourite. I thought the run of this horse last start at Taupo was one of a horse who is improving into the preparation and will come into this race with a bit more of a fitness edge. While she is just a one race winner, her win came in a race very similar to this event, clearing maiden ranks with a Rating 65 win over this course and distance. The wide draw is no help, but expect to see her settle back in the run early and with a bit of luck, I think she can score some of the pointy end of this race at generous odds.