LOVERACING.NZ Preview - Pukekohe 22 April

Mitch Davis
21 April 2023

Best Bets

Race 1 - #9 THATSALLSHEWROTE (EACH WAY)

I thought this mare was well over the odds in what looks a very even lineup. Her last start 3rd on a bottomless track over 2100m was credible, where she peaked on her run 100m out. She sticks at 2100m here on what should be a much better surface, 35 days between runs. Warren Kennedy jumping back aboard is a big assist, having had one ride on her for a win when clearing maidens. Expecting the tempo will be on the slower side of even, which will suit perfectly to aid her running out the trip from the low gate (4). Each-way all day.

Race 4 - #8 SHE’S A SHOWOFF (WIN)

Really like her staying at the 1200m second-up here. Likely to appreciate the easing of track conditions, although she was able to put up a near career peak rating when running 2nd first-up on a Good4. The speed looks to be hot, with many front-running types engaged, which should suit her getting back in the field from the wide gate (11).

 

Value Bet

Race 7 - #11 IMARICHGIRL (EACH WAY)

She was awfully unlucky last start when not getting clear till the race was already over. She looks well suited stepping back up to the 2100m, especially if the track does get into the worse end of a Soft or Heavy later in the day. The favourites, Arby & Desert Lightning, are awfully talented horses, however I think this filly will be appreciate the conditions more than them and others.

 

Feature Race Preview

Race 7 – Trelawney Stud Championship Stakes (Group 3)

Key Runners

#1 DESERT LIGHTNING

#2 ARBY

#9 CHEVAL D’OR

#11 IMARICHGIRL

Summary

A quality lineup of 3yo’s assembled for this 2100m event. Expecting the pace in the race will only be moderate, with the likes of #4 ARMINO and #8 UNTETHERED looking to hold forward spots from their respective inside barriers. A few runners will be looking to prove themselves worthy of a Queensland assault, with QLD Derby winner, Pinarello, coming through this race last year.t

Betting Strategy

#11 IMARICHGIRL (EACH WAY)

She was awfully unlucky last start when not getting clear till the race was already over. She looks well suited stepping back up to the 2100m, especially if the track does get into the worse end of a Soft or Heavy later in the day. The favourites, Arby & Desert Lightning, are awfully talented horses, however I think this filly will be appreciate the conditions more than them and others.

 

Race 8 – Manco Easter Handicap (Group 3)

Key Runners

#1 MARRONI

#2 HABANA

#10 WHITE NOISE

Summary

Extremely wide open lineup engaged over the mile for this year’s edition of the Manco Easter Handicap. The early speed in the race could be very intriguing, with the likes of #9 EL VENCEDOR & #14 NO LOITERING looking to cross from out wide, however, there does look to be many who will want to be handy to the speed drawn inside them. Expecting it will be yet another thrilling edition of the race, with plenty of talented gallopers looking to add this G3 event to their CV.

Betting Strategy

#10 WHITE NOISE (EACH WAY)

Highly talented 4yo son of El Roca who ran a mighty race first-up, sectionally was fantastic (10.78s from the 400m-200m) at a distance short of his best on a likely faster surface than he’ll find here. He’s drawn well a nice low gate (5), which should give Michael McNab every chance to position White Noise where he likes. He’s as good as any in this, with the right run in transit he can certainly win with his A-game.

 

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