LOVERACING.NZ Preview - Avondale Saturday 1 April

Robert Logan
31 March 2023

Best Bets

Race 1 #7 LA BELLA BEALS

Race 4 #4 ROC DANCER (Each Way)

Roughie

Race 8 - #2 NO LOITERING

 

Race 1 - THE AVONDALE MARSHALL STAND FUNCTIONS

Key Runners

#7 LA BELLA BEALS

#4 AOTEA LAD

Summary

A small field do battle here, and the speed should be genuine. The top weight #1 TIGHTLIGN is a noted front runner and the likely leader from gate 3 while #5 MACTHIEF drawn 1 and #3 CHALLA drawn 2, are the two who are going to settle near him. #6 WINNING FOR ALL may make a forward move early from gate 5 while race favourite, #7 LA BELLA BEALS will settle near the tail of the field.

Betting Strategy

Back (Win) - #7 LA BELLA BEALS

While she was a beaten favourite last start and will do battle with the horse who was her superior on that occasion, LA BELLA BEALS has the advantage of a 5kg weight swing from AOTEA LAD here. She maps to go back in the run off a moderate tempo and I think with the light weight and long straight, she will have every chance to score and is a worthy favourite.

 

Race 4 - RACING AT AJC ANZAC DAY

Key Runners

#4 ROC DANCER

#1 FOREVER YOUNG

Summary

There doesn’t appear to be much speed on in this event and we may see the favourite #1 FOREVER YOUNG cross from a wide draw for the 4kg claimer Kendra Bakker who is having her first race day ride. I think #4 ROC DANCER will be able to get a nice sit in behind the speed from the low draw.

Betting Strategy

Back (Each Way) - #4 ROC DANCER

This is an even bunch of horses and I think the best run in the race will be a huge factor in the result. #4 ROC DANCER maps to get a perfect spot in behind the leading few and she also will be aided by the 4kg claim of Hamish McNeil. Forgive her last start failure over 2000m as she will relish the drop to 1600m and her run two starts ago behind ARBY who has held his own at Group 1 level since is a good measure here.

 

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