Best Bets

Race 4 #3 RUBY’S LANDED

Race 8 #1 NEST EGG

Value Bet

Race 1 - #2 GROOMSMAN

Race 4 - NZB INSURANCE PEARL SERIES RACE

Key Runners

#1 COVERMEINSUNSHINE

#2 TAVERNIA

#3 RUBY’S LANDED

Summary

Only a small field here but there is plenty of recent winning form and the speed looks genuine. I expect #6 DON’T LOOK ETHEL & #5 BIT NOSY to take up the running from gates 2 & 3. That should give #3 RUBY’S LANDED & #1 COVERMEINSUNSHINE the perfect chance to race in pairs behind the two leaders, while #2 TAVERNIA is likely to settle two pairs back on the fence, tracking RUBY’S LANDED.

Betting Strategy

Back (Win) - #3 RUBY’S LANDED

She was resuming from a decent break last start over 1300m on the synthetic, giving the two horses who beat her that day around 10 rating points. While she will face a steep rise in the weights, she is dropping back in grade, and I think she is a mare who has plenty of ability and won’t take too long to clear Rating 65 company. The rise to 1400m looks like it will be perfect and she maps to get a great run in transit for Craig Grylls from barrier 4.